Set HomePage - Favorites
HOT: Investing News
<-- AD960X90 -->0.0
Location: Home > NEWS >

Trump's Approval Rating Decline Isn't Big Compared With Past Presidents' Drops : NPR & News

2017-06-04 02:41 [NEWS] Source:Netword
Guide:Yes, the president has grown more unpopular, but Bill Clinton

Trump's Approval Rating Decline Isn't Big Compared With Past Presidents' Drops : NPR & News

Enlarge this image

Donald Trump, at a Florida campaign rally in October, hasn't gotten a thumbs-up from the vast majority of Democrats, a reflection of the partisan divide in modern politics. Joe Raedle/Getty Images hide caption

toggle caption

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Trump's Approval Rating Decline Isn't Big Compared With Past Presidents' Drops : NPR & News

Donald Trump, at a Florida campaign rally in October, hasn't gotten a thumbs-up from the vast majority of Democrats, a reflection of the partisan divide in modern politics.

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Even though President Trump took office with record-low approval ratings, multiple polls (and, accordingly, news reports) have shown his approval rating dipping even further.

Look at his ratings on polling aggregators like RealClearPolitics or FiveThirtyEight, and the drop sure looks dramatic.

While his approval rating has fallen and the gap between approval and disapproval has widened considerably, it has not shifted in any extraordinary sense. This is, in part, because of how those charts are scaled, as well as the fact that they show the widening gap between approval and disapproval (and that he started lower than past presidents — there is only so low you can go).

Trump's Speech On Paris Climate Agreement Withdrawal, Annotated

Politics Trump's Speech On Paris Climate Agreement Withdrawal, Annotated

To be clear, this isn't to say that those are misleading. But it is to say that with more historical context, Trump's sliding approval rating really hasn't slid that much.

By RealClearPolitics' average, Trump's approval rating has fallen off by about 4 points since the first day of his term. FiveThirtyEight has it a bit bigger, at around 6 points. We wanted to know how big this type of decline compared with that of other presidents. Gallup has been tracking presidential approval ratings since the Truman administration, so we used its data to figure this out.

According to Gallup, Trump's approval rating is 5 points lower than it was when he took office. Compared with that, other presidents' approval ratings in their first four months have fallen by more — often, much more — than those once they took office. (Gallup measured approval ratings less often in the past, so we tried to find approximate time periods for other presidents.)

Trump Is Worried About The Trade Deficit With Germany. He Needn't Be

Politics Trump Is Worried About The Trade Deficit With Germany. He Needn't Be

Trump's disapproval rating has also climbed, by 9 points in Gallup's poll. Once again, this is far smaller than the increase that most other presidents have sustained in their first four months.

As a side note here, you might notice that Trump's disapproval increase is larger than the decline in his approval rating, which may seem odd, but that is a common trend among presidents.

When pollsters have asked in late January about approval of New presidents, people often answer that they don't know how they feel or have no opinion; they simply haven't known that president long enough. So once they do decide, approval and disapproval ratings both tend to climb. (For Trump, check out the Jan. 31 through Feb. 3 period, which shows a sharp climb in both.) During that sorting out, as it turns out, disapproval often climbs by more than approval.

"[Approval] is a pretty labile measure in general," said Frank newport, editor-in-chief at Gallup. But for Trump, he said, it just "isn't changing much."

He added, "When I talk about it, I generally say his approval hasn't changed that much on a relative basis."

A big part of this is, of course, that his approval is so low that it doesn't have as much room to fall as it otherwise might. From that perspective, it could be considered notable that his approval rating has fallen as much as other presidents whose approval ratings were much higher.

(EDIT:admin)

<-- AD690X200 -->
Recommend
<-- AD250X250 -->
<-- AD250X250 -->
<-- AD960X78 -->